Ideas
airiskcalculatordebate

P(doom) calculator for AI risk assessment

Build a simple tool that lets users input variables and calculate their personal AI risk probability. Targets tech professionals and AI skeptics.

Why now

As AI debates intensify, quantifying perceived risks becomes a tangible way to engage skeptics and enthusiasts alike.

Who for
tech professionals, AI skeptics
Business model
data licensing to researchers
Effort
A weekend

Many people struggle to articulate their concerns about AI risks in concrete terms.

A website or app where users adjust sliders for variables like AI alignment difficulty, deployment speed, and governance effectiveness to output a personal 'P(doom)' percentage.

Think tanks, research groups, and tech companies might pay to license aggregated anonymized data about public sentiment on AI risks.

Start with a single-page web app with basic sliders and a simple formula.

Risk: AI risk perception is highly polarized—might attract more debate than practical use.

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P(doom) calculator for AI risk assessment — Ideas